Discussion of findings at the YEARS clinic in Berlin

Genetic risk factors

Not every variant is a risk. What matters is what follows from it.

A genetic finding is only worth something once a consequence follows from it. Which genes deliver that, which merely add context, and which are overrated in the marketing of genetic tests.

  • 170+ curated risk genes
  • Classification by ACMG
  • Pharmacogenetics included
  • Physician-led discussion of findings

In brief

Which genetic risks actually count

A genetic risk factor matters when it triggers a consequence. By that criterion three groups remain. Monogenic variants with high penetrance, such as BRCA1, BRCA2, the Lynch genes, LDLR and HFE, are covered by guidelines and change screening intervals or treatment. Pharmacogenetic findings such as CYP2C19, DPYD and TPMT demonstrably change the dosing of certain drugs and hold for life. Carrier status for recessive conditions matters for family planning. Polygenic risk scores and lifestyle genetics such as MTHFR or COMT provide context but justify no diagnosis and no treatment. A genetic finding also describes predisposition, not your current state.

Fundamentals and methods: Genetic analysis explained

What follows

Three kinds of finding — and what each means for you.

This distinction is the most important one in the field. It decides whether an action follows from a finding, or only a feeling.

This changes your screening

A variant in a single gene with a large effect. Lifetime risk is markedly raised, and specialist societies have defined screening schedules for it.

What follows

May justify a shorter screening interval, further diagnostics or treatment.

This changes your medication

Variants in drug-metabolising enzymes. They say nothing about disease risk, but a great deal about the effect and tolerability of medications.

What follows

Changes drug choice or dosing. Holds for life, needs establishing once.

This changes nothing for now

Hundreds to thousands of variants each with a tiny effect, combined into a score. Plus common variants such as MTHFR or COMT with small effect sizes.

What follows

Provides context. Triggers no diagnosis and no treatment; predictive performance outside European cohorts poorly documented.

Concretely

The genes where a finding changes something.

An extract from the more than 170 clinically curated risk genes in the Ultimate analysis. The right-hand column names the evidence tier the type of finding sits on.

BRCA1 / BRCA2

Guideline

Relates to

Breast, ovarian, prostate and pancreatic cancer

What follows from a pathogenic finding

Intensified early detection programme as specified by the relevant specialist society, counselling on risk-reducing options, testing offered to first-degree relatives

MLH1, MSH2, MSH6, PMS2 (Lynch)

Guideline

Relates to

Colorectal cancer, endometrial cancer

What follows from a pathogenic finding

Colonoscopy at markedly shorter intervals and from a markedly younger age than in standard screening, gynaecological surveillance

LDLR, APOB, PCSK9

Guideline

Relates to

Familial hypercholesterolaemia

What follows from a pathogenic finding

Early and consistent lipid lowering, cascade screening in the family — the condition is common and commonly missed

HFE

Guideline

Relates to

Hereditary haemochromatosis (iron overload)

What follows from a pathogenic finding

Monitoring of ferritin and transferrin saturation, and on confirmation, phlebotomy — fully treatable when detected early

CYP2C19

Guideline

Relates to

Clopidogrel, proton pump inhibitors, some SSRIs

What follows from a pathogenic finding

Change of drug or dose adjustment. A poor metaboliser gains little platelet inhibition from standard clopidogrel

DPYD

Guideline

Relates to

Fluoropyrimidines in chemotherapy

What follows from a pathogenic finding

Dose reduction or alternative regimen. Testing recommended before treatment starts, because the risk of severe toxicity rises substantially

TPMT / NUDT15

Guideline

Relates to

Thiopurines in autoimmune conditions

What follows from a pathogenic finding

Dose adjustment to avoid myelosuppression

CYP2D6

Guideline

Relates to

Antidepressants, tamoxifen, codeine

What follows from a pathogenic finding

Drug choice and dosing. With codeine additionally relevant to safety

TTR

Guideline

Relates to

Hereditary transthyretin amyloidosis

What follows from a pathogenic finding

Cardiological and neurological surveillance, specific therapies available

LPA locus

Study-based

Relates to

Lipoprotein(a) and cardiovascular risk

What follows from a pathogenic finding

Lp(a) is largely genetically determined. The value itself is measured directly in blood — the genetic finding explains it but does not replace it

APOE

Study-based

Relates to

Alzheimer’s risk, lipid metabolism

What follows from a pathogenic finding

No specific therapy. May shift the priority of cardiovascular and lifestyle prevention. Belongs in the conversation before the test

Polygenic scores

Research-adjacent

Relates to

Coronary heart disease, type 2 diabetes, individual cancers

What follows from a pathogenic finding

Shifts a probability, justifies no diagnosis. May inform how other diagnostics are prioritised

MTHFR, COMT and similar

Research-adjacent

Relates to

Homocysteine, neurotransmitter metabolism

What follows from a pathogenic finding

No recommendation. Where a laboratory value answers the question directly, the detour via genetics is the worse route

Variants of uncertain significance occur in every comprehensive analysis. They are named as such and not reinterpreted into a recommendation. This table is an extract and not a complete list of the genes interpreted.

How we classify every procedure: Evidence and scientific standards

Context

Why we do not sell polygenic scores as a result.

Polygenic risk scores are a serious research instrument, and that is precisely why we treat them as one.

  • A score shifts a probability. It does not say whether you will develop a condition, and it justifies no diagnosis.
  • Calibration comes from the cohorts in which the score was developed. Outside European populations predictive performance is far less well documented.
  • For most common conditions the score explains part of the variance, while blood pressure, ApoB, HbA1c, smoking and exercise explain the larger part.
  • A high score rarely changes the recommendation. What it can change is the priority given to diagnostics that make sense anyway.

In the report, polygenic scores therefore sit in their own section labelled as research-adjacent — separated from the findings that an action follows from.

Afterwards

What happens if something is found.

A hereditary finding does not concern only you, and it is never delivered by PDF.

  • A personal medical consultation on the findings, with the evidence tier and the concrete consequence made explicit.
  • An adjusted screening schedule following the guidelines of the relevant specialist society, not house opinion.
  • Coordination of onward care: referral to human genetics centres or specialist clinics where specialised management is needed.
  • The question of family: a hereditary finding concerns siblings and children. Their testing requires counselling of its own, and the right not to know applies there too.

Related: Family history · Genetics in a health check

Frequently asked questions about genetic risk factors

A finding matters when it triggers a consequence. By that criterion three groups remain. First, monogenic variants with high penetrance, meaning ones that actually cause the condition in most carriers: BRCA1 and BRCA2 in breast and ovarian cancer, the Lynch genes in bowel cancer, LDLR, APOB and PCSK9 in familial hypercholesterolaemia, HFE in haemochromatosis. These findings are covered by guidelines and change screening intervals or treatment. Second, pharmacogenetics: CYP2C19, DPYD, TPMT and CYP2D6 demonstrably change the dosing of certain drugs. Third, carrier status for recessive conditions, relevant for family planning. Everything else provides context without justifying an action.

A monogenic risk traces back to a variant in a single gene and often has a large effect. A pathogenic BRCA1 variant markedly raises lifetime breast cancer risk, which is why concrete screening recommendations follow from it. A polygenic risk arises from hundreds or thousands of variants each with a tiny effect, combined into a score. The difference is not one of degree but of kind: a monogenic finding can justify a diagnosis, a polygenic score shifts a probability. Polygenic scores are also calibrated to the cohorts in which they were developed, which is why their predictive performance outside European populations is far less well documented.

This is one of the few genetic questions where the honest answer is: it depends what you intend to do with it. ApoE4 raises the risk of Alzheimer’s disease, particularly in homozygous carriers. At the same time there is no approved therapy initiated on the basis of ApoE status, and many carriers never develop the disease. What the finding can change: the priority you give to cardiovascular health, sleep, hearing loss and exercise, meaning precisely the factors that count without genetics too. What it does not deliver: a prognosis. Which is why ApoE belongs in a conversation before the test, not in a report afterwards.

It is the part of genetics with the clearest immediate benefit, because it changes an action rather than a probability. Four examples. CYP2C19 determines whether clopidogrel works for you; a poor metaboliser gains little protection from the standard drug. DPYD variants substantially raise the risk of severe side effects on fluoropyrimidines in chemotherapy, which is why testing is recommended before treatment starts. TPMT concerns thiopurines in autoimmune conditions. CYP2D6 affects numerous antidepressants and tamoxifen. The finding holds for life, making it one of the few genetic values you only need to establish once.

Considerably less robust than the marketing suggests. These variants are common, their effect sizes are small, and the leap from a gene variant to a supplement recommendation is not supported by the studies. The MTHFR C677T variant, for instance, has a measurable influence on homocysteine levels in some carriers, but the clinical consequence is disputed and a raised homocysteine value can be measured directly anyway. That is precisely the point: where a laboratory value answers the question directly, the detour via genetics is the worse route. We therefore classify these findings as research-adjacent and derive no recommendations from them.

The finding is discussed in a personal medical consultation, never by portal or PDF alone. Where a pathogenic variant in a high-risk gene is found, three things follow. First, an adjusted screening schedule oriented to the guidelines of the relevant specialist society, such as shorter MRI intervals for BRCA carriers. Second, coordination of onward care: we refer to human genetics centres or specialist clinics where specialised management is needed. Third, the question of family, because a hereditary finding concerns siblings and children and their testing requires counselling of its own. A right not to know remains in place throughout.

A finding without a consequence is only information.

In a free intro call we clarify which clinical question your family history raises, and which finding would genuinely change anything about it.